Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.339963 6.992283 7.738466 8.668956 9.818952 11.223841 13.121807
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.792746 6.688671 7.808105 9.363428 11.570446 14.788620 20.339950
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.522076 6.651078 8.186462 10.576213 14.568612 22.017239 42.057967
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.942975 6.111594 7.789771 10.615924 15.975128 28.553262 91.676360
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.670978 5.953513 7.919239 11.582224 19.923530 49.835644 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.381632 5.725964 7.903461 12.354823 24.652361 111.722444 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.006741 5.314258 7.504473 12.257504 27.387261 299.607367 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.656251 4.898356 7.027657 11.850497 29.018879 4158.835160 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.573258 4.907754 7.333374 13.497964 44.952708 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.606084 5.120627 8.107432 17.192754 132.063808 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.514017 5.099355 8.403390 19.937858 1229.302173 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.356927 4.935522 8.339914 21.386163 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.142335 4.665356 8.036376 21.970719 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.957974 4.433445 7.783912 22.775381 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.845137 4.330922 7.852164 26.054759 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.635679 4.008028 7.251265 23.849047 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.525443 3.879294 7.170858 25.877846 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.411258 3.729761 6.999736 27.111828 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.266600 3.502355 6.557964 25.123720 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.127360 3.276634 6.092355 22.581313 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.088766 3.261451 6.250132 26.914408 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.095721 3.345791 6.749921 39.830398 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.055749 3.321094 6.894962 50.895519 NaN NaN NaN